Maximize ad monetization revenue: RTB vs manual (or, how to get sly with AdOps)

How do you maximize ad monetization revenue in your app? Should you let the RTB engines do their automated thing, or should you manually adjust how they operate?

In a word … yes.

Click play, then keep scrolling down …

The love of money might be the root of all evil, but money itself is pretty bloody good, actually. Especially if you’re a growth marketer. The reason why is simple: the more revenue you make from running your app or game, the more you can invest in growth. The higher CAC you can afford, the more likely you are to be able to acquire high-quality new users or players.

So as much as growth marketers need to be amazing at their jobs, product, live ops, and engagement managers need to be amazing too.

Maximize ad monetization revenue

What can you do to maximize ad monetization revenue? I recently chatted with Farhan Haq about exactly this question. Except he called it getting sly with AdOps in an RTB world. Haq is an industry veteran who’s had UA and monetization roles with Nanobit, Dapper, Social Point, SYBO, and Carry1st, and now runs his own independent growth agency called Hyper HQ.

So how do you get sly with AdOps in an RTB world?

You maximize ad monetization revenue by letting the RTB engines do what they do best, AND by manually adjusting how they operate. (AI, after all, is pretty good, but it’s often someone else’s AI, which means it might not have your supreme best interests in mind.)

Most marketers are very reliant on real-time bidding, Haq says. But it’s important to understand how it works and what it does if you want to maximize ad monetization revenue.

“The way to get your higher CPMs … what you need to do is a lot of manual calls and run them up against your overall real time bidding and constantly refresh those,” he says.

Hands-on customization

For some networks that’s impossible: app monetizers, meet black box. You get what you get, and you can choose to be OK with it or not. 

For others, it is possible, such as Unity’s LevelPlay AKA ironSource, or AppLovin MAX, or even AdMob or Google Ad Manager. For AppLovin in particular, customization is a main selling point, with a brand promise of being able to “control every aspect of your monetization strategy.”

For networks that allow it, Haq recommends running “constant A/B tests.” If you don’t, the risk is that you won’t achieve high enough CPMs to build a scalable UA engine. RTB alone will achieve only mediocre results, Haq says.

One thing to look for: big gaps in calls at significantly different CPMs, which could indicate a missed opportunity. Other things to be A/B testing for besides pricing include different placements, ad units, and geo tests to maximize value for rewarded videos, interstitials, banners, or whatever you have. 

And yes, banners are still relevant.

“If you don’t hurt your user experience, you will get a lot of revenue from even banners because just the amount of time, the amount of views you can get, you can get per user, per day,” Haq says. “You can show 30 to 40 banners a day and they’re still relevant, so really optimizing all of those is important.”

Why can’t you just keep it all automated?

The answer is simple if you just ask yourself a question: who is all of this ad infrastructure actually automated in favor of? Most mediation engines are going to function in ways that benefit their makers. That’s to be expected and normal, but a little manual tweak can swing the dial somewhat back towards you: the app publisher/marketer/monetizer.

Google Ad Manager … boost ARPDAU 15-20%?

You can still do manual calls on Google and it’s important to do that with AdMob, Haq says. 

But something many marketers forget about is Google Ad Manager, which is a way to buy Google inventory outside of Google. That’s a thing Google intended to kill but has not yet done so, and the potential benefits for you are huge.

“You’re missing out if you just use what you think are the traditional networks and not really understanding that there are other networks out there,” Haq says. “ I’ve seen many companies out there after they’ve added those Google Ad Manager networks that have increased their ARPDAU by like 15 to 20% at least.

That’s huge.

Of course, it may disappear at any time, so if you’re able to jump on it and reap the rewards right now, go for it.

Scaling user acquisition via better monetization

UA is better when monetization is better. I asked Haq what he’s able to achieve with an average client in terms of revenue boost.

“What I would say is that you will be able to improve if your ads ARPDAU and if you improve your ad ARPDAU without hurting your retention, which I believe fundamentally you can do, you will be able to essentially improve your LTV,” he said. “And you don’t need to double, treble, quadruple your lifetime value in order to be able to scale your UA.”

The example:

  • At $1.50 per user in the U.S. maybe you can get 1,000/day
  • At $2, you can get 5,000 to 10,000

If you can do that profitably … your game or app has a chance to completely skyrocket up the charts and become a major player. In other words, to grow explosively, you need to maximize ad monetization.

One more thing: an idea to try

Why are you giving every user the same reward for a rewarded ad view, or an engagement with a playable ad? Some users are worth more than others.

Haq’s idea: get smarter, segment users, and provide higher rewards in virtual goods (gems, gold, etc.) to higher-value users.

As a game player myself, this is genius. I’ll sometimes refuse to engage in ad experience in a game I love, simply because sometimes I know (or suspect) that the rewards aren’t worth my time. And this is a game I’ve spent hundreds of dollars in, so I’m a pretty valuable paying player for this game.

Try it!

Yeah, much more in the full podcast on how to maximize ad monetization

Have you subscribed to Growth Masterminds yet? Check out the full podcast on all the usual platforms, or watch it on YouTube channel.

Our goal: you’ll get smarter thanks to good ideas from other marketers and industry insiders. In this case, you just might get better at knowing how to maximize ad monetization.

Everything in this show:

  • 00:00 Introduction and Guest Presentation
  • 01:05 Understanding Ad Operations in an RTB World
  • 01:57 The Importance of Manual Calls and Realtime Bidding
  • 03:46 Optimizing Networks and Running AB Tests
  • 04:05 The Role of Competition in Ad Monetization
  • 04:27 Understanding the Fundamentals of AB Testing
  • 05:53 The Impact of Ad Placement and Pricing on Monetization
  • 06:02 The Importance of Ad Units in Monetization
  • 07:27 The Impact of Automation on Ad Monetization
  • 07:27 The Importance of Hands-On Approach in Ad Monetization
  • 08:48 The Role of Google Ad Manager in Monetization
  • 10:17 The Role of User Acquisition in Monetization
  • 20:23 The Impact of Geographical Location on Monetization
  • 26:59 The Future of Ad Monetization
  • 32:13 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

D2C for mobile games: how to save on app store fees WITHIN the rules

Is it possible to make D2C for mobile games work? Safely and legally?

Google Play and the iOS App Store are marvelous things. They enable something we’d struggle to believe possible just a few short years ago: instant global distribution for free. And if your app is ad-supported a complimentary service, or a retail app, it can remain that way: free.

Of course, there are fees for in-app purchases: 30% or less depending on a variety of factors. And that’s even true with the new-found freedom on iOS to use a third-party app store or third-party payment service in Europe, thanks to the Digital Markets Act.

This means 30% of your gross revenue is gone before you even see it. And that has an impact on your profitability as well as your ability to build and ship new functionality.

But for some, there might be another option.

Perhaps a direct to consumer model would still work for you. Legally. Safely. And within Apple’s and Google’s stated guidelines and rules. Recently I chatted with Stash.gg’s head of product, Archie Stonehill, about precisely how that can be done.

D2C for mobile games

Games have often been heavily intermediated by stores, whether a PC platform like Steam or a console platform like Playstation or Xbox. Mobile’s no different, with Google Play or the App Store sitting between you and your end user, player, or customer.

Right now on mobile, of course, that’s a hot topic: should game publishers be able to sideload games or install them directly from a website, and use whatever payment processing platform they wish?

Stash can’t help with sideloading or installing from websites, but they do think they can help in terms of direct sales and retaining more of your gross revenue. Co-founded by Twitch co-founder Justin Kan, former Zynga executive Robin Chan, and Googler Dan Borstelmann, Stash’s mission is to enable developers to become their own platforms. 

“We’re trying to be the anti-platform, the direct-to-consumer platform for developers,” says Stonehill.

That’s D2C, and it’s not just about financial transactions. Stash also aims to provide identity services and the expertise to manage consumer experiences effectively. In other words: sort of a customer experience platform for mobile apps and games. Because a big piece of D2C for mobile games is about knowing your customer as something more than an avatar in a game.

Making it kosher and safe

Google and Apple are pretty clear: if you have a mobile-only game, purchases need to happen in-app. But they’ve also acknowledged that there are cross-platform experiences in which people can play the mobile app or a desktop or console version.

The key, then, is to become cross-platform.

And to ensure that at least 1 of the platforms you publish on is fully under your control.

“You are allowed to sell things outside of your store through other channels,” says Stonehill. “Particularly if you’re what’s called a multi-platform service — read a cross-platform game —  you have a lot more discretion, which is why a lot of the successes here, like Raid, like some of the Scopely games, have been cross-platform.”

That’s easier said than done for some types of apps or games, of course. It’s one of the reasons why casino games are distributed on browser as well as mobile app … and it’s probably a lot easier to do that with a casino game than a midcore or hardcore mobile game.

But creating a cross-platform experience for your app or game is the key. And then in the EU and now in the U.S., thanks to the recent Epic anti-steering ruling, in your app you can tell your players or users about their purchase options elsewhere.

Of course, external payments have already been happening for years, with Stonehill suggesting that some major game publishers take as much as 30% of their revenue off-store to their own web-based e-commerce experiences. But that can be unsafe: you still need the app stores for distribution, and so following the rules is important.

Where D2C for mobile games needs to win: experience

It’s hard to beat 1-click purchasing via Amazon. It’s just as hard to beat in-app purchase processes that Google and Apple have built.

They’re simple, they’re instant … they’re painless.

So what do you do?

“You have to focus on experience, not convenience,” Stonehill says. “The reason that is so important is you will never build a more convenient distribution channel than Apple or a more convenient payment product than Apple. So you won’t win on convenience.”

That means building a cross-platform experience that is good enough that it is worth players, users, or customers making a special effort to put their app down, open up a web browser, sign in, and engage with whatever it is that you’ve made available there. In addition, you have to make it good enough that even though payments will be harder — especially initially when people have to input a credit card for the first time — they will push through the obstacles.

Not an option for everyone

Of course, D2C for mobile games (or apps) is not an option for everyone. Even though Stash will help, not everyone can build a cross-platform experience that matches Apple’s or Google’s definitions. 

If you’re a tiny hyper-casual game, for instance, it’s probably out of your reach.

But if you’re a large publisher and see the 30% you’re giving up as a significant chunk of missing growth, it might be an opportunity. At least until additional legislation passes in the EU and/or the U.S. about what precisely is allowed and what is not. 

Because it’s actually more than 30%.

“It’s almost always more than you think because it’s 30% of gross revenue, not net revenue,” Stonehill says. “So what the developers typically think of as revenue is that 70% amount. The ratio isn’t 10 to 3, it’s 7 to 4. So in fact, the amount of money that’s going to Apple and Google is about 40-45% of what you are making as a developer.”

But … and it’s an important but … stay safe. Stay within the Google Play and App Store guidelines.

Much more in the full podcast

Check out the full podcast on all the usual platforms, or watch it on YouTube.

  • 00:00 Introduction to the Gaming Industry’s Challenges
  • 00:43 The Role of Third-Party App Stores
  • 01:29 The Impact of the Digital Markets Act
  • 02:23 The Three Vectors of Pro-Competitive Pushes
  • 04:23 The Importance of Direct Relationships with Players
  • 05:11 The Evolution of the Games Industry
  • 12:36 The Role of Stash in the Gaming Industry
  • 32:26 The Future of the Gaming Industry
  • 36:36 Conclusion

AllTrails CEO Ron Schneidermann on becoming Apple’s 2023 iPhone app of the year

I’d never gotten this answer before. 

In all the years I’ve been talking to growth marketers and CEOs about growing mobile apps, I’ve never heard what AllTrails CEO Ron Schneidermann told me. In a long chat for Growth Masterminds about AllTrails becoming Apple’s most recent iPhone app of the year, I asked him about the key factors in his app’s growth. His answer was literally unique in my experience.

“Process design.” 

I’ve heard ad network hacks. Smart traffic arbitrage opportunities. Features. Celeb shoutouts, random Tiktok virality, relentless creative optimization. But I’ve never heard “process design” before as a growth hack or vector for doubling performance.

But as I listened, it started to all make sense. 

“Honestly, one of the biggest levers for growth is process design,” Schneidermann says. “As lame and boring as that sounds, you can hire the best people in the world, you add all this mass, but if you don’t create the system for velocity around them, you lose your momentum.”

It’s a unique answer for a unique app. 

In the fast-paced world of mobile apps, few can claim the level of success and recognition that AllTrails has achieved. Named the iPhone app of the year in 2023 out of all the millions of the apps on the App Store, AllTrails has become a go-to platform for outdoor enthusiasts and adventurers. With likely 10s of millions of users, a massively successful subscription plan, and 7X better user retention than the average app, AllTrails is a bit of a unicorn.

But how?

On being named iPhone app of the year

Many accolades in our professional lives are not worth the plastic in their plaques. We all know the game: events and organizations dream up awards because they’ll drum up interest. When you have an award, you need to have winners, so a LinkedIn search happens, a few questions get asked, and BOOM … winners are found.

In some cases, you can simply buy the award from an organization that exists simply to sell awards. (Yeah, check your LinkedIn inbox.)

$500 later you too can humblebrag to your bestest friends on LinkedIn that you’re SHOCKED, so HUMBLED, just absolutely SPEECHLESS because the universe has decided to pick you (yes, you!) out of the teeming masses and recognize your innate genius, dedication, hard work, and spare cash. Finally, someone besides your mom sees you for who you really are.

That’s not like iPhone app of the year.

Even after Apple’s late 2022 app-aggedon cleared out old and out of date apps, there are close to 5 million apps on the App Store in 2024, according to Statista. Everything Apple does is data driven, AppFigures CEO Ariel Michaeli recently told me on a livestream, and you know it’s true especially for something as high profile as this.

So it’s meaningful.

“It feels like our Pulitzer Prize, our Academy Award, our Super Bowl, all rolled up, and to be able to share that with the team … as I’m sure most of your listeners know, software development is a grind,” Schneidermann says. “So much of it is not very glamorous and oftentimes it just feels like this uphill grind.  And so to be able to share it with every single person involved in the company — every single employee outside of just product development and engineering, customer support, marketing, data integrity, like every single function had had a part in getting this — that’s a really wonderful thing to be able to celebrate together and share it with our board, share it with our investors.”

Living the brand

Schneidermann should know what a grind is. He’s an avid hiker and outdoor enthusiast who is raising his kids on trails. For hikers, a grind is a particularly hard and grueling stretch of trail that is generally mostly uphill. As anyone who’s built software or a startup, it’s a good analogy for the work and dedicated commitment over time required.

But it was never supposed to be like that. 

Instead, it was supposed to be a quick flip.

“I took over from the founder in 2015 when it was a six person company,” Schneidermann told me. “The handshake agreement was to try and grow it a little bit and sell it: that was what I signed up for.”

The goal was to sell for $30-40 million, but 9 years later, he’s still at AllTrails, having refused an offer from a big tech company. And his definition of success has changed so much he really can’t see himself anywhere else.

“I love the outdoors: it’s a core part of my life,” he says. “I have three kids. I’m raising them on the trail, and so to be able to spend my time and energy on something that means so much to me personally and to my family personally, that that’s a very unique opportunity.”

Organic growth FTW

AllTrails’ success story begins with organic growth. 

With a deep understanding of their target audience — mostly the team and the intended customer were a pretty good match already — and a commitment to providing value, AllTrails built a product that resonated with outdoor enthusiasts. 

A big driver: the subscription business, which was not nearly as sexy in 2015 as it later became.

Another huge driver: a rich legacy on the web that provided excellent SEO for premium — and cheap — discoverability that led to a metric ton of app installs. (The fact that it’s a multi-platform service that you can subscribe to online and therefore avoid platform fees on IAPs is another plus, of course.) Adding strong ASO to strong SEO, AllTrails capitalized on organic traffic to fuel their early growth.

All of that is driven, of course, by a massive community engine.

Most startups talk community and want community — or the potential positive benefits of it. Few achieve critical mass of an active, growing group of users that get as much or more value as they contribute. At AllTrails, the community contributes huge amounts of value: trail info, mapping tips, photos, scores and difficulty grades, among other things.

One of the more surprising things I noticed about AllTrails: they update their app on average every 11 days. That seems high to me, and I asked Schneidermann if it was relevant to the company’s growth story.

“Absolutely,” he says. “That’s very intentional and the reason why is that aside from our employees, our single biggest asset is our community, right? AllTrails is nothing without our community.” 

“Why do communities ebb and flow? Why do once vibrant communities suddenly disappear? Sometimes it keeps me up at night … I think one of the key things, because it is a symbiotic relationship: our community members, our users are taking time to invest in content within our platform. They’re leaving reviews for other trail goers. They’re adding photos, they’re emailing us with new trails that we should have on our platform. They’re emailing us with product feedback and ideas. It’s a very vibrant and active community, and so in return, our obligation to them is to demonstrate our investment as well.”

There you go: 

How often you update your app can be an important part of your organic growth strategy … if it’s aligned with a strategy to provide incredible values for users, customers, or players.

Plus paid acquisition …

Of course, there’s also paid acquisition.

As AllTrails scaled, they recognized the need to diversify user acquisition channels. While organic growth continues to be a significant driver, AllTrails uses paid user acquisition to reach new users that might not have stumbled across them on the web or in an app store. 

Other tactics include strategic partnerships and investments in channels such as podcasts and CTV.

One key: just like the ever-evolving nature of organic acquisition, paid channels are always evolving, requiring AllTrails to stay agile and adapt to changes in algorithms, costs, and privacy regulations.

All of which, of course, will sound very familiar to any other growth marketers.

Big question: still willing to fail after being app of the year?

One of the luxuries of being tiny is that you can fail in the dark. 

No-one notices, and so it’s easier to aim high, take risks, and generally do things that big corporations and successful companies don’t want to do because … they’re successful, and that becomes part of their core identity, and therefore failing would be a horrendous, awful, inconceivable thing.

Like most, though, AllTrails’ growth journey has not been without its share of failures and learning opportunities. Schneidermann says they’ll continue to embrace failure as a means of growth, fostering a culture that acknowledges mistakes, learns from them, and uses them to drive improvement. 

Even when you bring on new people that might not initially have the same mindset.

“This is where core values and like cultural tenets and, and everything else like really come into play,” Schneidermann says. “One of the fascinating things is that we had 30 people at the start of the pandemic. We doubled head count, doubled head count, and doubled head count year over year over year. And we were bringing people from all sorts of different companies, and what we found was like there are certain, bigger companies specifically where folks were just trained to be more risk averse.”

“And so we had to get in front of that and just be really proactive about what it means to work here. And, at AllTrails, it’s all about momentum. It’s all about momentum. We can’t let perfect get in the way of good. We’re gonna embrace our failures. Sometimes you have to move forward when there isn’t statistical significance or clear cut research. We kind of have to trust our intuition or our gut sometimes. The key thing again is momentum.”

So much more in our full conversation …

There’s much more in the full podcast.

Subscribe to Growth Masterminds on your favorite podcasting platform and subscribe to our YouTube channel, where we’ll post the video versions. What we talk about …

00:00 Introduction to the Journey of Success

00:25 The Making of an iPhone App of the Year

01:45 Understanding the Significance of Being iPhone App of the Year

04:10 The All Trails App: A Closer Look

05:18 The Journey from Startup to Success

07:24 The Decision to Reject Quick Flip and Aim for Long-Term Growth

07:44 Key Decisions that Ignited Growth

12:14 The Role of Product Development in Growth

25:33 The Importance of Regular App Updates

27:50 Advice for Aspiring App Developers

28:15 Conclusion: The Importance of Humility and Openness

Apple’s new Core Technology Fee could cost free apps $400,000 a month (or you can just stick with the old App Store rules)

Think back to 2013. An unknown developer in Vietnam built a truly simple game with a silly name that exploded to 90 million downloads on mobile app stores. It was, of course, Flappy Bird, and its creator Dong Nguyen was soon making $50,000 a day in ad revenue. 

Now imagine doing the same thing in the EU in 2024. Some teen makes a cool app with a no-code tool, gets excited about distributing it freely outside the App Store, and makes that the ill-fated choice. If lightning strikes and virality happens, an equivalent $1.5 million in monthly ad revenue would not go far thanks to the new Apple Core Technology Fee. At 90 million installs, the CTF would be $4 million or €3,708,333 each month: 50 euro cents per install over 1 million. Freedom, meet rookie mistake.

That’s an extreme edge case, of course.

apple Core Technology Fee

But a moderately viral game with a more modest 10 million downloads in year 1 would incur monthly platform fees of $407,609 a month: not as astronomical but clearly and obviously unsustainable for any ad-supported app. And a somewhat successful hypercasual game with 3 million installs in the EU would pay $90,580 per month to Apple thanks to the Core Technology Fee.

Ouch.

Apple’s Core Technology Fee is part of its plan to comply with the EU Digital Markets Act

Now we have Apple’s plan

Developers can either stay on the official App Store and keep their existing terms, or adopt the new terms if they choose to use the DMA-required option of a third-party app store or third-party payment processing.

Those terms are:

  • 10% commission to 17% commission on in-app purchases (down from the 30% standard and 15% small business rate)
  • 3% payment processing fee if they use Apple as a payment processor
  • €0.50 for each first annual install per year over a 1 million threshold: the new Core Technology Fee (CTF)

Most apps will pay less under this plan, Apple says. In fact, 99% of them will:

The reason for that is obvious: most apps fail. Or, at least fail to become large, profitable successes.

I’ve published an app, but you don’t see me retiring to the Bahamas or pontificating about it on panels. That’s simply because — like most apps — it failed to get big. Apps that don’t cross the 1 million install mark will never pay a Core Technology Fee.

Other details for third-party app stores, payment processors

In addition to the financial terms, third party app stores will require authorization from Apple: a process about which we don’t have too many details yet. And Apple will demand that apps that choose to be distributed by third-party app stores will still undergo a “baseline review” in a “notarization” process that involves both automated checks and human review, presumably to screen for fraudulent and/or scammy apps.

That notarization process will result in “app installation sheets,” similar in some sense to information on the App Stores’ app listing pages, and presumably something like the app nutrition labels Apple has required for apps on the App Store that detail privacy implications of installing and using the app.

Apple will also implement unspecified “additional malware protections” that will “prevent iOS apps from launching if they’re found to contain malware after being installed to a user’s device.”

Apps installed from third-party marketplaces or using third-party payments will incur some differences in standard user experience, too:

  • Product page labels: warning users they’re downloading an app with non-Apple payments
  • In-app warnings: telling users they are not transacting with Apple when buying something
  • New app review processes

Upshot: heads I win, tails you lose

The upshot is obvious: no-one who cares about scale and profitability will use these new terms of service, and therefore won’t use alternative payments or third-party app stores. That means the vast majority of apps and games that are focused on growth are better off with the existing App Store arrangements, where the Core Technology Fee will never be an issue.

Going outside the App Store under these terms is insane:

  • It will be harder
  • There will be more work
  • There will be less (maybe no) profit
  • The user experience will be worse
  • Users will be turned off by various warnings and labels

Some apps may, however, benefit. These would be apps that never intend to go over 1 million installs: perhaps internal apps for a business or organization. It’s possible that avoiding the typical App Store — and Apple’s enterprise program for developers that allows businesses to manage app deployment to thousands or hundreds of thousands of employees — might offer some capabilities that are worth the effort.

But I think it’s unlikely.

Most likely: this will get challenged in court

Presenting an option that isn’t really a choice might not be seen as good-faith compliance by EU regulators. We already know that Epic founder and CEO Tim Sweeney plans to challenge Apple’s American external payments provider plans in court.

I’d be shocked if something similar didn’t happen in Europe.

Until then … stick with the devil you know.

AI for UA: chatting with AppSamurai’s Faheem Saiyad

Where can AI help in mobile user acquisition? I recently chatted with Faheem Saiyad, a director at mobile advertising platform AppSamurai, about AI for UA.

The big question: where can AI for UA help marketers the most? Hit play to start the conversation, and keep scrolling …

First: building your app

Most UA managers won’t be helping to also build their apps and games unless you’re part of a very small team. But if you are an indie developer and that’s your current reality, AI can help.

“Back in the day designing a game was quite a complicated task,” Saiyad says. “With AI in place, what it has done has taken a lot of workload off. So, let’s say you are an indie game developer, back in the day, probably you might need a couple of freelancing outsourced people that will help you build a certain game out. But now with these resources from AI you can actually build out a certain project, do a quick soft launch, use A/B testing, even the creatives can be designed by an AI.”

GPT for UA

 

I can certainly see building some of your creatives with generative AI tools like Creative Diffusion or MidJourney. And GPT-4 isn’t bad at coming up with new ideas for games that you can probably modify or riff on to improve.

AI for UA: data analysis and campaign optimization

You don’t have to be part of a small team to want extra help with data analysis and campaign optimization. BI analysts are always busy, and manually messing with CSV files, Excel spreadsheets, or Google Sheets is annoying and time-consuming.

Good news: AI is pretty good at data analysis.

“With AI what we have seen is a lot of well-run analysis that you can basically summarize, especially when you are at a soft launch stage,” says Saiyad. “So this basically helps you save a lot of time and money.”

One note: double-check a few of the calculations that your AI tool is making for you. 

I have literally caught GPT-4 making some silly assumptions and mistakes. You can save a lot of time, but if you uncritically accept what a generative AI system has invented, you can also end up with some egg on your face.

AI for UA CSV vs CSS

 

Of course, sometimes the error is yours: you just didn’t prompt the generative system appropriately. Kinda like that one time I wanted a CSV file but accidentally asked for a CSS file …

There are also AI-driven tools that will find, name, and segment audiences. In some cases they’ll identify actions you can take or offers you can make to maximize conversions and spend; in other cases they’ll even take that action for you.

AI for UA: campaign creation and launching

Using AI for UA in ideation and creative development is one thing. And using AI for UA purposes in data analysis for campaign optimization is another. But using AI to actually design and launch ad campaigns autonomously within certain parameters is pushing the bar significantly higher.

“In a realm where you have an advertiser that looks to automate a certain campaign creation process, our APIs are able to plug into their backend platforms,” Saiyad says. “The idea here is that they can automatically launch campaigns, they can set bids … the optimization — although it’s not perfect — we are still getting real close.”

Right now, that’s probably a bit like Tesla’s Full Self Driving: totally fine for some who trust it and use it and swear by it, while interesting but dangerous for others who see the potential but are wary of trusting their lives to it. 

Which Saiyad totally understands, adding that AI for marketing is not quite set and forget it at this point: you generally want a human in the loop.

One thing we know for sure, however, is that while AI is demonstrably imperfect, it’s also improving at breakneck speeds. So betting against automated campaigns is probably not wise, at least in the long term. (And let’s be honest: is it really that different from giving Meta or Google a stack of cash and having their algorithms figure it out?)

Not for fraud detection just yet

While AI for UA managers kinda looks perfect for fraud detection, since it should be exactly what you need to munch through mounds of data, find patterns, and either identify those correlated with poor down-funnel performance or those which are associated with shady or duplicitous means of taking credit for good ROAS … that’s not the case.

It’s not quite there yet, Saiyad says.

“We still do have manual human resources that actually keep a check on AI, especially in terms of ad fraud,” Saiyad says. “A lot of ad fraud has been going on, and as of yet, at least in my experience, I haven’t seen AI being used in the realm of preventing ad fraud at scale.”

AI for UA: much more in the full episode

If you haven’t subscribed to Growth Masterminds, now is a good time. You can watch it on YouTube or listen on your favorite podcasting platform.

In the full episode, we talk about:

  • 00:00 Introduction and welcome 
  • 01:19 The role of AI in game development 
  • 03:35 The Impact of AI on user acquisition 
  • 06:22 Challenges of campaign optimization 
  • 10:25 Introducing rewarded playtime: a new ad unit 
  • 13:44 The future of AI in marketing and game development 
  • 16:38 Wrapping up the discussion

And, as usual, if Singular can help with anything, connect with us today.

Live: Singular’s integration with Protected Audiences in Privacy Sandbox for Android

Singular’s integration with Protected Audiences in Privacy Sandbox for Android is now live in beta and will be entering real-world testing with multiple partners over the next months. Internal end-to-end testing is complete and operational, and we’re actively working with partners to standardize workflows and data transmission to make everything just work for marketers and ad networks.

The goal, just as we had with SKAdNetwork on the iOS side over the past few years, is that Singular customers will be up and running with as little disruption as possible when Privacy Sandbox becomes fully implemented and GAIDs are scarce or nonexistent.

Refresher: what is Protected Audiences again?

Remember FLEDGE? That’s what Protected Audiences was originally called. While you can get the full rundown on what Protected Audiences is and how it works here, it’s essentially a privacy-safe on-device way of creating groups of people that advertisers can target ads to. 

One thing Google said way back in 2022 was that “adtech platforms will need to prepare to have some parts of their current auction and ad selection logic deployed and executed on the device.”

With GAID being freely available, marketers today can assemble device IDs of their best users, ship them off to ad networks or platforms, and ask for more like that. From the massive device graphs that pretty much every ad network has built, partners can assemble lists of lookalike devices and dynamically target ads to them as they pop up in RTB/programmatic/exchange ad auctions, or outsource that responsibility to an exchange or SSP. 

Alternatively, the big platforms like Meta and Google can find users on their platforms that look and act similar to that collection of GAIDs.

Under Privacy Sandbox, however, audience information will be stored on-device. That means the Privacy Sandbox code running privately on individual devices will essentially take notes about what people do in various apps (Topics API) and use that data for targeting. 

Protected Audiences works in a similar on-device way, but it is for remarketing/retargeting and custom audience use cases. Ad networks will be able to present ads to the Privacy Sandbox code running on-device, indicating what kinds of people or users they’re appropriate for, and Privacy Sandbox will match users to ads based on what audiences a user is part of.

As Google says:

“The Protected Audience API on Android (formerly known as FLEDGE) includes the Custom Audience API and the Ad Selection API. Ad tech platforms and advertisers can use these APIs to serve customized ads based on previous app engagement that limits the sharing of identifiers across apps and limits sharing a user’s app interaction information with third-parties.”

Singular’s implementation lets ad networks do what they do best

On August 16 of last year, Google released the Custom Audiences Delegation, which supports the creation of custom audiences for ad networks or marketers that do not have an SDK present on a device. 

Since then, Singular has been fully integrated with the released endpoints.

What this allows Singular to do is to create custom audiences on behalf of buyers using the new ‘fetchAndJoinCustomAudience’ endpoint, which has multiple checks and failsafes that will log issues and attempt to prevent fraudulent activity.

Singular’s implementation is designed to let MMPs do what they do best and let ad networks do what they do best:

  1. Ad networks create and manage audiences
  2. MMPs handle app events and adding/removing users from audiences
  3. Ad networks handle the ads and bidding processes, as they always have

As mentioned above, however, this primarily happens on-device so that users’ exact identity and activity is protected. Singular won’t have access to the on-device data showing which audiences a user is part of, and neither will an ad network.

Singular’s implementation also lets advertisers do what they do best

Protected Audiences is built right into Singular’s existing Audiences product. That means marketers will be able to segment their users just as they always have and distribute them to ad partners just as they always have.

Of course, the technology will work quite differently on the backend, as will the data transmission (or lack thereof for privacy reasons). But ideally the effect will be the same. The goal: integrate the new Protected Audiences API with our existing product in a way that makes everything seamless for our customers.

In other words, the nice big easy button that Singular CTO promised in a recent Privacy Sandbox webinar with partners including Google, Gameloft, and Tinuiti.

So you want to test Protected Audiences …

If you saw what happened in the first six months of SKAdNetwork, you probably don’t want to see that again. Getting ahead of the curve and testing Privacy Sandbox for Android now while you also have the GAID to grade your own work is a good idea. We’re running tests for both customers who are on the Singular SDK and customers who prefer server-to-serve (S2S) integrations.

If you’d like to be part of the ongoing testing, talk to your Singular account executive about getting on the list.

Ad networks in particular: Privacy Sandbox means significant changes for you. We encourage you to reach out and chat with us about getting ready for the eventual switchover.

External iOS payments for in-app purchases now live: 3 big problems

External iOS payments for in-app goods are now available in the U.S., thanks to the 2021 Epic Games lawsuit against Apple. But don’t expect big savings. In fact, expect everything to cost more, while conversion rates go down, and users/players/customers get frustrated.

In September of 2021, Epic won a part of its lawsuit against Apple when U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers ruled that Apple must allow developers to provide third-party payment options in apps. Until yesterday, that judgment was tied up in further legal wranglings. But as of today, Apple has complied with the court’s ruling and is opening up iOS for external payment providers.

Sounds good for developers, right?

Wrong.

Why? Three reasons:

  1. The massive drop-off in conversions you’ll see
  2. The massive amount of extra work you’ll have to do
  3. The massive commission Apple will still charge you to go through all the hassle and pain of setting up your own app payments system

External iOS payments: almost guaranteed lower conversions

Look at the screen you’ll have to show users/players/customers before they leave to send you money on your own website or payment provider:

external-iOS-payments

If you thought the ATT wording was scary and fear-mongering, here’s its best friend. “You’re about to go to an external website,” the massive bold text blares. “Apple is not responsible for the privacy or security of purchases made on the web.” 

Every time you want to allow someone to make a purchase, your app must call the StoreKit External Purchase Link API. Then it will surface a system disclosure sheet like the one above, which tells your user that their App Store payment method won’t be available, refund requests won’t be handled by Apple, and Apple can’t verify any pricing or promos.

And that’s just the beginning.

Once someone clicks through that (and notice neither of the 2 options — Continue or Cancel — are prioritized or highlighted as the default) then they have to go through the hassle of setting up a credit card and account with you and/or your payment provider.

Conversion rate optimization experts know: every extra hoop you ask a customer to jump through drops your conversion rate. Setting up an account, providing personal information like an address and credit card number … all of this takes time, is tedious, and is easy to mess up on a mobile device. Worse, if you’re not a major known brand like Rovio or Uber or Lyft or LinkedIn, people are likely to be wary of trusting you and your level of security with all their data.

It’s not hard to imagine conversion rates dropping so much you lose more than the 30% you’re paying Apple for in-app purchases now: a 3-second process that most iOS users do without any problem.

External iOS payments: so much extra work

Does paying 30% or less of your revenue to Apple or Google kinda suck? 

Sure.

You know what sucks more?

Doing all the work to handle payments yourself.

First there’s setting up the systems, finding a payment processor, maybe negotiating on fees if you’re big enough to have some clout. Then there’s record-keeping and accounting to manage. Perhaps worst of all, there’s refunds and customer service. And while you can’t really satisfy customers when they buy via IAPs — because essentially they are Apple’s customers — when they buy from you, you need to have systems, processes, and people to handle complaints, concerns, failed deliveries, or refunds.

And you thought you were a mobile app developer? 

Now you’re running a customer service division.

But that’s not all. To set up external iOS payments for in-app purchases, you have a lot of work to do with Apple and your app:

  • Request a StoreKit External Purchase Link Entitlement from Apple
  • Configure and enable the entitlement in your app 
  • Change your development and publishing processes, most likely (because this is US-only right now, so you’re likely doing more work to create a custom app bundle)
  • Tell Apple where your external purchase will happen (and if that changes, you’ll have to resubmit your app with a new link)
  • Check whether a user can buy things by calling the canMakePayments API every time before sending a user to your payments page
  • Follow no fewer than 9 requirements when actually implementing the link out, including 1 that limits how often and where you can show the link
  • Follow Apple’s design guidelines

It might not be rocket science, but it’s not exactly easy either.

External iOS payments: subject to a massive 27% commission

After all that work, you might be tempted to crack a beer and yell FREEDOM!

But you’d be fooling yourself, because Apple’s pound of flesh is still getting collected.

“Apple’s commission will be 27% on proceeds you earn from sales (“transactions“) to the user for digital goods or services on your website after a link out (i.e., they tap “Continue” on the system disclosure sheet), provided that the sale was initiated within seven days and the digital goods or services can be used in an app,” Apple says. “If you’re a participant in the Small Business Program, or if the transaction is an auto-renewal in the second year or later of an auto-renewing subscription, the commission will be 12%.”

And if it’s a subscription, “each subsequent auto-renewal after the subscription is initiated is also a transaction.”

So you’re doing all the work, you’re paying the processing fee, you’re supplying the labor and infrastructure for customer support, and you’re getting a tiny discount on Apple-facilitated in-app purchases.

In other words, at this commission rate, external iOS payments are a non-starter. 

But it gets better. As 9to5Mac reports, Apple reserves the right to audit you.

“To help ensure collection of Apple’s commission, developers are required to provide a periodic accounting of qualifying out-of-app purchases, and Apple has a right to audit developers’ accounting to ensure compliance with their commission obligations and to charge interest and offset payments.”

But you could try to play fast and loose, and Apple admits its options are limited:

“Although developers are contractually obligated to pay the commission, as a practical matter, with hundreds of thousands of developers with apps on the U.S. storefronts for the iOS and iPadOS App Stores, collection and enforcement will be exceedingly difficult and, in many cases, impossible.”

I’d advise against that. 

It’ll likely work until Apple sets up something to monitor calls to the APIs that facilitate external iOS payments and start joining that data with commission data to look for high volume API calls not associated with significant commission revenue.

And then it’ll all blow up in your face.

So what’s an app developer or publisher to do?

Wait.

First of all, with the EU’s Digital Markets Act, Apple’s going to have to provide something similar in Europe. Other nations are looking at similar legislation. So there might be something better coming.

Secondly, replacing a 30% commission with a 27% commission while doing less work is clearly abiding by the letter of the law while thumbing your nose at the spirit of the legal ruling. Somebody — maybe Epic, unless their legal war chest is exhausted — will challenge this at some point.

Apple will likely have to adjust this in the future, at which point publishers can take another look at their in-app purchase options and reassess.

Update January 18: Epic founder and CEO Tim Sweeney says Epic will challenge this:

“Epic will contest Apple’s bad-faith compliance plan in District Court.”

So: the court battles will continue!

Steve Jobs was right: this 1 ad creative change boosts revenue by 15%

Getting ad creative right is incredibly important. Most marketers instinctively know that, but the data has backed it up for decades too. In fact, up to 75% of an ad’s ability to make a brand impression is due to creative, and ad creative is responsible for as much as 49% of all sales lift. That is absolutely huge, and it means that getting ad creative right is mission-critical for marketers.

But could there be one small change that makes a huge difference?

Ad creative study

According to a recent study published in the Journal of Consumer Research … absolutely yes.

And that change is ridiculously simple: adopting a curvy, flowing design style rather than one with sharp angles. According to principal researcher Dipayan Biswas, a professor of marketing at USF Muma College of Business, curvy designs are perceived as friendlier and more approachable. And that, he says, leads people to subconsciously prefer things, including digital ad designs, that are soft-edged and curvy.

 “According to research from different disciplines, our natural instincts send us signals that sharp angles usually denote danger and that we’re more likely to get hurt,” Biswas says. 

Steve Jobs knew it

It’s almost as if Steve Jobs knew this about 4 decades ago.

In 1981 when a young Jobs was designing the first Macintosh, and the iPhone was on absolutely no-one’s radar, Apple developers had just managed to get Mac OS to draw circles and ellipses. (Sadly, this counted as a significant innovation in the 1980s.) Jobs was happy about that, but in true Jobsian fashion, he wanted more. He wanted windows and dialog boxes in the emerging Macintosh operating system to have curved corners.

Rounded rectangles, he told the Mac developers, were everywhere: tables, street signs, cars … but not computers.

ad creative

Apple’s software engineers figured out how to make windows with curved corners, and that one small difference ended up making a big sales difference:

“Buttons and windows became rounded,” DesignModo says. “These helped define the ‘safe’ interface of the Macintosh. To customers, Mac had a softer, more welcoming appeal, which sat in contrast to the intimidating aura of both IBM and Microsoft’s products.”

The results, as they say, are history.

15% better revenue

In ad creative, something similar is true. To capture his data, prof Biswas used an eye-tracking study and 3 different field experiments, all testing curvy design in online advertising. The twofold result: better CTR and higher revenue.

“We studied a hotel search button and we consistently found the click rate was higher when the elements were curved,” Biswas said. “It translated to an increase of nearly 15% in total revenue.”

Higher CTR is one thing. It’s a very nice impact, and no marketers will say no to it, but the fact is that CTR is top funnel. You would expect better ad creative to enhance your clickthrough rates. But seeing an significant impact in revenue as well is the real deal … and 15% is not just incremental.

Ad creative has subconscious impact

The results show, Biswas said, that this one ad creative change both enhances visual appeal and leads to greater ad viewer motivation to both click and convert. Some of what people do is based on conscious thought, but a lot of the impact of ad creative is subconscious.

“For shoppers, this means when you’re browsing the web on a holiday shopping spree, you become most susceptible to subliminal tactics, such as design elements,” says USF.

In other words, we’re all more inclined to connect and engage with things that we like and that we feel safe around … including ads.

This study, of course, was done on the web. My guess, however, is that mobile is not significantly different. If you look at the shape of the phone in your hand, after all, odds are pretty good that it’s a rectangle with curved corners.

Just like Steve Jobs designed it.

Creatives that convert: webinar

Singular’s doing a creative optimization webinar at the end of this month. We’re bringing together creative experts from Craftsman+, Liftoff, Mobile Action, and Singular to share what’s hot in creative, what’s changing, what’s making the most impact, and where current ad creative trends are heading.

Join us?

Sign up here!

Organic + viral: how a budding super app is growing in India

How do you grow a mobile app? There’s a pretty well-known formula in the west, and it involves a lot of paid user acquisition along with some app store optimization. A well-funded new super-app for seniors in India, however, is using traditional viral marketing and offline organic growth for something different: growing in India. We recently chatted with Ayush Choudhary, a senior product manager at GenWise, to find out how.

Hit play to start the conversation, and keep scrolling:

While it’s true that there’s a pretty standard playbook for growing a mobile game, exceptional brands and marketers generally look for something different to give them an edge. For GenWise, being different is a table stakes for getting in the growth game to begin with, because their core customer demographic is barely active in digital. Plus, growing in India is just different.

But how they’re solving their growth challenges might just provide hints and tips for opportunities that other apps for different demographics in other countries could use too.

Growing in India: a different marketing strategy for a different kind of app

GenWise is an app for seniors that offers social, health, entertainment, emotional, financial, and personal assistant features. That includes AI features for conversation, real human beings who can help with technical challenges, and online social events such as yoga sessions or tech training.

The goal is helping lonely seniors with low tech literacy access services and support, bank safely, take medications when needed, and connect with others for socialization and emotional connection.

This makes GenWise tough to market: its core demographic isn’t very accessible via traditional mobile or web ads. And even if they were, their lack of technical ability could easily prevent them from successfully downloading, finding, accessing, using, and paying for a mobile app.

Which makes growing in India challenging.

The solution: organic, viral, and offline marketing

The marketing solution?

  1. Target seniors’ kids with digital marketing, mostly organic
  2. Target potential 45+ customers on Facebook, which has an older demographic
  3. Use viral techniques to expand reach within extended families
  4. Reach older seniors directly where they are: at offline community events

“There are some digital channels, like Facebook,” Choudhary told me. “However, we do a lot of physical events as well.”

That translates to awareness via Facebook, and in-personal real-world marketing at resident welfare associations: events for seniors mediated by third-party social organizations. One avenue is offering insight on a common digital senior challenge: fraud.

“We organize events where we tell people how do you protect yourself against … frauds and scams,” says Choudary. “These are very informative, educational sessions, and those have also worked out very well for us in terms of getting user traction and getting people to come on the app and use it, because we have all those services on how to protect yourself on the app as well.”

There’s a lot of organic growth as well which is driven by viral mechanics.

The GenWise team is pretty much all young and digitally savvy, spreading their message via organic social media. The target audience for that is not seniors but other people like them: young professionals with elderly parents and relatives. And that plugs into a specific product feature designed for virality.

“On the product end … we have built this family feature where you can just add your family and you can set medicine reminders for your parents,” says Choudhary. “Or you can talk to them, or screen share and teach them if they want to learn something.”

Some users have added as many as 50 of their friends and family members to the app so they can all connect and support each other. 10-15% of GenWise’s traction comes from this mechanic: young people adding their parents and siblings, Choudhary says, and I wouldn’t be shocked if that is a particularly valuable segment of users because they’re connected to their family from the very beginning.

Monetization: also different when growing in India

The way GenWise is building out monetization is aligned to its core market: India. Subscription isn’t a huge model here: the vast majority of Indian mobile phone owners use a prepaid model, with telecoms like Circle B at 95% prepaid.

That aligns with how Indians pay for many products and services:

“It might not work that way in the western countries, but in India, if you have a retail store in your society, you go to them, you get your stuff, and they write it in their diary,” says Choudhary. “And then you pay at the end of the month … you go to the person who sells vegetables and he or she is going to give you this slip or something, and then you come at the end of the month and you pay that bill.”

It’s a physical habit that Indians have, Choudhary told me, which is not easy to break.

So rather than try to boil the ocean or change a whole society’s habits, GenWise operates on a similar transactional model.

Service starts for free. If a customer likes it, they prepay a minimal fee, like $2 for around 300 minutes of calling someone for emotional support and conversation. Regular users get better deals, and GenWise is seeing good traction on this model. 

They will explore a subscription model in the future, Choudhary says, but in India the existing prepay models are likely to remain popular into the foreseeable future.

More in the full podcast!

As always, there’s much more in the full podcast. Skip over to our Growth Masterminds homepage to find out how you can connect to the podcast on a platform you prefer.

8 things SKAN 4 provides that you can’t get from SKAN 3

What does SKAN 4 provide that SKAN 3 doesn’t?

We are finally seeing sustained SKAN 4 growth again. It’s steady but slow, with SKAN 4 postbacks hitting the 20% threshold for the first time since the SKAN 4 CV reset bug in July of 2023. And while it’s slow, as big players adopt SKAN 4 this year, we’ll see massive jumps. Reddit was the most recent, and at some point in Q1 or Q2 of 2024, Meta will take the plunge (again), Google will slip a switch, TikTok will toggle a setting, and we’ll very quickly approach majority SKAN 4.

skan 4 provides

That’s why 66% of iOS marketers are working on or testing SKAN 4 right now, according to the survey numbers from one of our recent webinars. 

(Take the number with a grain of salt: this is not a representative audience, necessarily. But it’s likely indicative: everyone knows SKAN 4 is coming.)

Testing SKAN 4

But what are 8 things SKAN 4 provides that actually give you what SKAN 3 does not? We asked 5 experts in a recent SKANATHON webinar to dig into SKAN 4 in 2024:

  • Richard Eiseman, DraftKings
  • Mollie Sheridan, Tinuiti
  • Eran Friedman, Singular
  • Itai Kafri, TikTok
  • Matthew Ellinwood, Liftoff 

Here’s just a small slice of what a few of them had to say:

1. SKAN 4 fixes SKAN 3’s volume limitations

Crowd anonymity is better for returning data than privacy thresholds: ad campaigns with lower volume get more data back.

“Basically any advertiser who just has initial budgets, they’re very familiar with the fact that they can’t get enough conversion values because they don’t pass the privacy thresholds,” says Singular CTO Eran Friedman.

SKAN 4 makes that better.

That makes optimization faster, and it reduces the need to consolidate spend into fewer and fewer campaigns, allowing marketers to test better.

“I think that the things that were missing in SKAN 3 were addressed to some extent, and they are mostly around the loss of cohorts and long-term conversion funnels,” says TikTok’s Itai Kafri.

2. SKAN 4 adds a longer data collection time frame

SKAN 3 offers 1 postback which most people opt to get within 24 hours. That makes cohorts hard to compare and user value hard to compute.

“The big limitation that I hear all around from customers is just the limited time window to really understand the value of the user,” says Friedman.

SKAN 4 offers 3 postbacks for fast feedback plus updates around a week and a month, depending on whether you lock conversion values to get them earlier or not. That provides much more data to model cohort behavior, engagement, and revenue.

“With SKAN 4, you will have a longer attribution window or multiple attribution windows up to 35 days,” says Kafri. “That’s a huge change on its own. That change is so significant because the golden standard used to be a seven-day ROAS or seven-day CPA, and that was taken away a long time ago. We are now finally getting it back to some extent, and we can go back to that golden standard.”

3. SKAN 4 provides better creative optimization insight

SKAN 3 offers so little data it’s almost impossible to do creation optimization, forcing ad networks, agencies, and mobile marketers to rely on upper-funnel network metrics and reducing insight into creative’s impact on lower-funnel goals, conversions, and revenue.

“When you want to get to the creative level, now you need to do much more modeling or not really rely on SKAN as much, to be honest,” says Friedman.

At high levels of crowd anonymity under SKAN 4, the new source identifier will offer 4 digits of data on elements like publisher, placement, geo, language, and — if you wish — creative. That offers an opportunity to make SKAN relevant for creative optimization for the first time ever, really.

4. SKAN 4 provides data for more effective ad network optimization

Data for marketers is good and necessary. But attribution data is the end of the line. 

To make mobile marketing better, ad networks need to be able to optimize live campaigns for targeting, reach, interest, engagement, and action. Without data, that’s hard to do, and top-funnel metrics aren’t always enough.

SKAN 4 provides what’s needed:

“Now that we have some adoption, we can already see how this can impact not only the reporting side, but also the delivery side and also the optimization and so on,” says TikTok’s Kafri. “And definitely, the accuracy of the modeling. So, there’s a lot of things that we’ve been able to add with SKAN 4 with all the additional data that we have.”

When ad networks have more signals, they have more data. More data means better and faster optimization.

5. SKAN 4 provides better measurement of reality

Measurement needs to measure reality. If it doesn’t, it’s either useless or misleading. And bottom line, rubber meeting road, SKAN 4 does a better job of measurement than SKAN 3.

Perhaps 17% better, says TikTok:

“After a big analysis that we’ve done, we’ve seen an increase of more than 17% in the number of conversions that we can capture because of the longer attribution windows, the threshold changes, and all that,” says Kafri. “And that is a huge differentiator.”

We always knew SKAN 3 was missing conversions, partly due to privacy thresholds and partly due to short measurement windows. SKAN 4 will be leaky too in that sense … but not quite as leaky.

6. SKAN 4 is more complex (yeah, not everything on this list is a positive)

On the downer side, SKAN 4 is more complex and harder to learn and implement. One of the early adopters I’ve talked to says SKAN 4 requires you to completely rethink iOS attribution after SKAN 3 … not necessarily a pleasant prospect.

“It’s an increase in complexity,” says Liftoff’s Ellinwood. “It’s just become much more challenging to handle an entirely new framework and an entirely new set of signals. So, I’d say it’s mostly good news, but with the good news comes some effort.”

So the silver lining doesn’t come without the cloud.

The good news is that there’s an easy button, sort of.

“Our focus is to build that big easy button, like you said, right?” says Singular’s Friedman. “So, anyone who’s just starting with SKAN, just click a button, you know, configure their initial conversion model, and boom, they get the reports as they expect to get them, seeing all your campaigns, any additional granularity that the networks would be able to provide, bits of the hierarchical ideas as we’ve mentioned, basically seeing all the costs, the installs, the KPIs, the events that you’ve done, and, of course, the cohorted rows that you’re used to across any cohorts that you’re trying to aim for.”

Singular is, he says, trying to “bring 2019 back” for mobile marketers.

7. SKAN 4 offers better reporting for subscription apps

Thanks to #2 in this list, SKAN 4 is just better for subscription apps … and any apps with a long conversion window.

“We’ve heard from many advertisers who are pretty excited about SKAN 4 because they’ve been struggling with the previous versions and it kind of opens up opportunities for them,” Friedman says. “Especially the ones who usually monetize after longer cohorts.”

8. SKAN 4 offers better reporting for low-user-count apps

Some apps are built on aggregating audiences of millions or billions and then making fractions of a penny off each individual user via advertising. Other apps are built on a small number of high-value users.

Think construction apps. Vertical-specific apps. Perhaps marketplace apps … apps where you might have just hundreds or thousands of customers, but each represents thousands or tens of thousands of dollars in value.

SKAN 4’s coarse conversion values could be their savior:

“There’s also cases we’ve seen of business models in which they don’t have such a high volume of users,” Friedman says. “I remember, speaking with a marketplace app, for example … they’re selling pretty expensive types of products, and they can’t pass the privacy thresholds with the required volume … with the coarse conversion values, they’ve been testing and seeing great success.”

Thanks to #1 on this list, these types of mobile developers and publishers are potentially back in the game.

Much more in the full webinar

As usual, there’s much more in the full webinar. Check it out (and the other SKANATHON webinars) right over here

There’s a ton of insight we haven’t been able to share here that you can get on-demand, right now. In particular, Mollie Sheridan from Liftoff and Richard Eiseman from DraftKings shared insights on other, related topics. 

Check out all their insights in the full webinar.